St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 8-1 vs FCS · 10-1 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#32
+6.2 pts · likely #19–59
Strength of schedule
16.1
#128 of 130
Strength of victory
14.4
#86
Record SOS
0.430
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Utah | L 13-44 | −0.6 | +1.8 | 0.297 | 2 | −27.1 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 38-24 | −14.4 | +1.8 | 0.071 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 6 | vs Davidson | W 27-16 | +1.2 | −1.8 | 0.258 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 7 | vs Drake | W 26-14 | −9.6 | −1.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Michigan TechDII · W 32-6
- Wk 4: vs Lincoln University (CA)DII · W 43-6