Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 1-8 vs FCS · 1-9 overall
Strength of record
#121
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−12.6 pts · likely #101–127
Strength of schedule
32.4
#51 of 130
Strength of victory
14.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
32.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Tarleton State | L 13-29 | −3.9 | +1.9 | 0.228 | 3 | −18.1 |
| 2 | at Austin Peay | L 0-41 | +4.7 | +1.9 | 0.435 | 2 | −27.4 |
| 4 | at Jackson State | L 7-49 | +19.0 | +1.9 | 0.790 | 1 | −15.1 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | L 7-34 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.323
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Delta StateDII · L 17-28