Alabama State
SWAC · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#52
+1.5 pts · likely #34–83
Strength of schedule
29.0
#73 of 130
Strength of victory
20.3
#53
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 53.9% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
3.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Howard | W 23-13 | −0.3 | 0.0 | 0.265 | 2 | +9.3 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 15-25 | +3.2 | −1.9 | 0.302 | 2 | −7.9 |
| 5 | at Texas Southern | W 16-13 | +4.3 | +1.9 | 0.423 | 2 | +8.6 |
| 6 | vs Jackson State | L 12-26 | +19.1 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.038
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 21-13
- Wk 2: at UCLAFBS · L 7-45