Samford
Southern · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#78
−2.4 pts · likely #51–100
Strength of schedule
40.4
#27 of 128
Strength of victory
25.4
#44
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 48.7%
Remaining SOS
49.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | L 18-22 | +9.5 | −2.2 | 0.455 | 2 | +2.5 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | L 10-22 | +3.2 | 0.0 | 0.347 | 2 | −8.3 |
| 2 | at Tennessee Tech | L 19-45 | +13.5 | +2.2 | 0.674 | 1 | −10.3 |
| 4 | vs VMI | W 45-7 | −19.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at East Tennessee State · p 0.592
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.389
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at UABFBS · L 14-33