Mercyhurst
NEC · 0-5 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#123
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#95
−6.2 pts · likely #64–114
Strength of schedule
38.7
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 53.8% · Opp. opp. 42.4%
Remaining SOS
17.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 10-43 | +23.8 | +2.2 | 0.876 | 1 | −8.1 |
| 5 | at Long Island | L 24-27 | −3.6 | +2.2 | 0.241 | 3 | −4.2 |
| 7 | vs Central Connecticut State | L 40-43 | +8.3 | −2.2 | 0.423 | 2 | +2.4 |
| 8 | at Robert Morris | L 14-28 | −10.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Wagner · p 0.036
- Wk 11: at Duquesne · p 0.424
- Wk 12: vs New Haven · p 0.063
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 14-51
- Wk 2: at New MexicoFBS · L 7-70
- Wk 3: vs Glenville StateDII · W 49-20
- Wk 4: at Western KentuckyFBS · L 7-52