Brown
Ivy · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#37
+5.4 pts · likely #20–64
Strength of schedule
35.5
#44 of 128
Strength of victory
24.1
#47
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 57.7% · Opp. opp. 57.0%
Remaining SOS
37.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at New Haven | W 17-10 | −12.3 | +2.2 | 0.097 | 4 | −2.4 |
| 4 | vs Harvard | L 10-14 | +16.3 | −2.2 | 0.638 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 5 | at Rhode Island | L 10-13 | +3.7 | +2.2 | 0.418 | 2 | +3.0 |
| 6 | vs Bryant | W 28-13 | +0.1 | −2.2 | 0.227 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Yale · p 0.513
- Wk 11: vs Columbia · p 0.124
- Wk 12: at Dartmouth · p 0.473