Monmouth
CAA · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 27% of the time
Power
#24
+8.5 pts · likely #13–51
Strength of schedule
31.1
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
25.8
#43
Record SOS
0.488
Opp. 45.4% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
25.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacred Heart | W 31-24 | −5.5 | −2.2 | 0.128 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 1 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-38 | +11.6 | +2.2 | 0.629 | 1 | −9.0 |
| 3 | at UAlbany | W 28-20 | +8.1 | +2.2 | 0.538 | 1 | +17.0 |
| 4 | at Dartmouth | W 31-28 | +4.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Bryant · p 0.214
- Wk 10: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.099
- Wk 11: vs Merrimack · p 0.128
- Wk 12: at Campbell · p 0.564
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Western MichiganFBS · L 14-49