Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−18.5 pts · likely #114–126
Strength of schedule
18.0
#117 of 128
Strength of victory
16.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
21.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 10-44 | −8.1 | +2.2 | 0.157 | 3 | −37.7 |
| 4 | at Alabama State | L 15-41 | −1.0 | +2.2 | 0.300 | 2 | −23.5 |
| 5 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 28-27 | −0.6 | −2.2 | 0.211 | 3 | −3.9 |
| 6 | at Texas Southern | W 38-34 | −10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Alcorn State · p 0.102
- Wk 10: at Jackson State · p 0.310
- Wk 11: at Florida A&M · p 0.123
- Wk 12: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.336
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Sacramento StateFBS · L 0-52
- Wk 2: vs (N) Lincoln (PA)DII · W 31-20
- Wk 3: vs Delta StateDII · L 6-21