East Texas A&M
Southland · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#95
−5.5 pts · likely #66–111
Strength of schedule
35.7
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
16.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.495
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 46.7%
Remaining SOS
44.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 7-44 | +19.7 | +2.2 | 0.811 | 1 | −12.4 |
| 1 | at Mercer | L 15-23 | +11.4 | +2.2 | 0.625 | 1 | +4.4 |
| 2 | vs Northwestern State | W 38-14 | −15.7 | −2.2 | 0.034 | 4 | +5.0 |
| 4 | at McNeese | L 24-27 | −3.3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.368
- Wk 10: at Nicholls State · p 0.209
- Wk 11: at Lamar · p 0.673
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.544
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 0-42