Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#99
−6.0 pts · likely #59–114
Strength of schedule
14.8
#122 of 128
Strength of victory
12.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.354
Opp. 30.0% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
14.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Alcorn State | L 51-53 OT | −8.1 | 0.0 | 0.122 | 3 | −9.3 |
| 5 | at Southern | W 41-10 | −9.6 | +2.2 | 0.134 | 3 | +19.4 |
| 7 | vs Alabama State | L 15-21 | −0.6 | −2.2 | 0.211 | 3 | −7.8 |
| 8 | at Florida A&M | W 31-28 | −10.2 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.129
- Wk 10: at Grambling State · p 0.162
- Wk 11: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.175
- Wk 12: at Texas Southern · p 0.093
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs (N) Morehouse CollegeDII · W 35-15
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 14-54
- Wk 3: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 41-35