Stony Brook
CAA · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#37
+5.3 pts · likely #19–67
Strength of schedule
28.2
#80 of 128
Strength of victory
31.1
#19
Record SOS
0.503
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
26.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 36-32 | −0.6 | −2.4 | 0.208 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 1 | at Delaware State | L 34-41 | −6.7 | +2.4 | 0.183 | 3 | −8.6 |
| 3 | vs Rhode Island | W 56-24 | +13.0 | −2.4 | 0.544 | 1 | +37.9 |
| 4 | at Fordham | W 31-16 | −4.2 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Bryant · p 0.355
- Wk 9: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.148
- Wk 10: at Campbell · p 0.531
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.244
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.022
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 17-41