Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#54
+1.5 pts · likely #32–86
Strength of schedule
42.5
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
19.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 48.9% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
60.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Weber State | L 29-30 | +5.2 | −2.4 | 0.338 | 2 | +2.0 |
| 1 | vs South Dakota | L 23-38 | +19.7 | −2.4 | 0.714 | 1 | +1.6 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 37-13 | −7.2 | −2.4 | 0.104 | 3 | +12.9 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 14-36 | +16.4 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at UC Davis · p 0.477
- Wk 10: at Southern Utah · p 0.549
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.768
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.616
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 13-21
- Wk 3: vs Northeastern StateDII · W 23-17