Grambling State
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#108
−8.1 pts · likely #74–117
Strength of schedule
23.6
#100 of 128
Strength of victory
18.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 60.8% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
11.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Grambling State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs (N) Prairie View A&M | L 14-21 | −4.8 | 0.0 | 0.175 | 3 | −11.8 |
| 5 | vs Alcorn State | W 63-59 | −7.7 | −2.4 | 0.098 | 4 | −6.3 |
| 6 | vs Jackson State | W 45-38 | +2.7 | −2.4 | 0.278 | 2 | +5.3 |
| 7 | at Alabama A&M | L 31-61 | +2.6 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Texas Southern · p 0.084
- Wk 10: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.118
- Wk 11: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.190
- Wk 13: vs (N) Southern · p 0.057
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Clark AtlantaDII · W 49-7
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 48-26
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 7-63