Elon
CAA · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#62
−0.2 pts · likely #36–93
Strength of schedule
21.4
#110 of 128
Strength of victory
9.7
#62
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 44.7% · Opp. opp. 41.0%
Remaining SOS
21.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Davidson | W 38-0 | −27.0 | +2.4 | 0.011 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 2 | at Rhode Island | L 10-31 | +6.2 | +2.4 | 0.488 | 2 | −10.5 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-21 | −4.6 | −2.4 | 0.140 | 3 | −3.6 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 43-17 | −4.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.170
- Wk 10: vs Hampton · p 0.022
- Wk 11: vs Campbell · p 0.404
- Wk 12: at Towson · p 0.260
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Glenville StateDII · W 42-7
- Wk 7: at StanfordFBS · L 7-34