Central Arkansas
UAC · 1-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#76
−1.8 pts · likely #45–102
Strength of schedule
45.1
#17 of 128
Strength of victory
47.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.612
Opp. 67.0% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
31.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | W 36-24 | +5.5 | +2.4 | 0.470 | 2 | +17.2 |
| 1 | vs West Florida | L 14-42 | −4.1 | −2.4 | 0.147 | 3 | −30.9 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 9-27 | +1.5 | +2.4 | 0.363 | 2 | −12.8 |
| 6 | at Abilene Christian | L 14-20 | +8.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs UTRGV · p 0.279
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.270
- Wk 10: vs West Georgia · p 0.208
- Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.298
- Wk 12: vs Austin Peay · p 0.543
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central OklahomaDII · W 59-20
- Wk 4: at Florida StateFBS · L 7-34