Yale
Ivy · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 63% of the time
Power
#18
+10.9 pts · likely #9–44
Strength of schedule
31.2
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
28.8
#21
Record SOS
0.505
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 68.3%
Remaining SOS
39.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Holy Cross | W 38-28 | +2.7 | +2.6 | 0.403 | 2 | +15.3 |
| 4 | at Cornell | L 25-38 | +2.1 | +2.6 | 0.385 | 2 | −5.3 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 41-24 | −7.4 | −2.6 | 0.098 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 6 | vs Dartmouth | W 28-7 | +6.5 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Rhode Island · p 0.335
- Wk 8: at Penn · p 0.403
- Wk 9: at Columbia · p 0.243
- Wk 10: vs Brown · p 0.315
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.411
- Wk 12: vs (N) Harvard · p 0.665