UAlbany
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#54
+1.4 pts · likely #31–89
Strength of schedule
28.6
#72 of 128
Strength of victory
23.5
#34
Record SOS
0.559
Opp. 59.7% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
35.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | W 28-14 | −0.9 | −2.6 | 0.198 | 3 | +9.6 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 35-13 | −1.7 | +2.6 | 0.293 | 2 | +20.1 |
| 3 | vs Monmouth | L 20-28 | +2.0 | −2.6 | 0.256 | 2 | −6.7 |
| 4 | at Princeton | L 0-22 | +5.3 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Stony Brook · p 0.557
- Wk 8: at Rhode Island · p 0.472
- Wk 9: vs Campbell · p 0.440
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.375
- Wk 11: vs Maine · p 0.088
- Wk 12: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.183
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BuffaloFBS · L 17-21