Stony Brook
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#23
+8.5 pts · likely #11–54
Strength of schedule
27.5
#79 of 128
Strength of victory
29.9
#17
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 60.9%
Remaining SOS
27.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 36-32 | −2.2 | −2.6 | 0.174 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 1 | at Delaware State | L 34-41 | −7.4 | +2.6 | 0.175 | 3 | −8.6 |
| 3 | vs Rhode Island | W 56-24 | +10.2 | −2.6 | 0.462 | 2 | +34.6 |
| 4 | at Fordham | W 31-16 | −0.2 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs UAlbany · p 0.255
- Wk 8: at Bryant · p 0.375
- Wk 9: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.148
- Wk 10: at Campbell · p 0.581
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.283
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.021
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 17-41