Penn
Ivy · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#46
+2.5 pts · likely #27–82
Strength of schedule
35.9
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
15.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.486
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
44.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Columbia · p 0.146
- Wk 8: vs Yale · p 0.473
- Wk 9: at Brown · p 0.450
- Wk 10: at Cornell · p 0.477
- Wk 11: vs Harvard · p 0.598
- Wk 12: at Princeton · p 0.552