East Tennessee State
Southern · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#14
+11.5 pts · likely #8–40
Strength of schedule
35.0
#44 of 128
Strength of victory
34.7
#11
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 50.3% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
35.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Campbell | L 37-49 | +6.4 | −2.6 | 0.361 | 2 | −6.3 |
| 3 | vs West Georgia | W 35-27 | −1.0 | −2.6 | 0.195 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 58-31 | +14.8 | −2.6 | 0.587 | 1 | +35.3 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | W 14-3 | +8.2 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.020
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.508
- Wk 10: vs Samford · p 0.121
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.465
- Wk 12: at Mercer · p 0.637
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs TusculumDII · W 48-14
- Wk 2: at North CarolinaFBS · L 3-35