Central Connecticut State
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#37
+4.9 pts · likely #17–73
Strength of schedule
56.1
#2 of 128
Strength of victory
5.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
19.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota | L 20-59 | +17.7 | +2.6 | 0.779 | 1 | −12.6 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 30-35 | +21.6 | +2.6 | 0.849 | 1 | +16.8 |
| 5 | vs Wagner | W 45-14 | −11.8 | −2.6 | 0.056 | 4 | +14.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Mercyhurst · p 0.228
- Wk 8: vs New Haven · p 0.060
- Wk 9: vs Robert Morris · p 0.188
- Wk 10: at Stonehill · p 0.287
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.219
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.164
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ToledoFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 6: vs American InternationalDII · W 51-14