Yale
Ivy · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#27
+8.4 pts · likely #12–59
Strength of schedule
30.0
#67 of 128
Strength of victory
25.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 56.9%
Remaining SOS
38.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Holy Cross | W 38-28 | +2.7 | +2.8 | 0.405 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 4 | at Cornell | L 25-38 | +2.3 | +2.8 | 0.397 | 2 | −4.5 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 41-24 | −7.3 | −2.8 | 0.097 | 4 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Dartmouth · p 0.368
- Wk 7: vs Rhode Island · p 0.336
- Wk 8: at Penn · p 0.451
- Wk 9: at Columbia · p 0.188
- Wk 10: vs Brown · p 0.261
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.426
- Wk 12: vs (N) Harvard · p 0.634