UAlbany
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#55
+1.8 pts · likely #31–87
Strength of schedule
29.5
#70 of 128
Strength of victory
23.5
#26
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 58.8%
Remaining SOS
36.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | W 28-14 | +0.6 | −2.8 | 0.224 | 3 | +10.7 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 35-13 | −2.7 | +2.8 | 0.272 | 2 | +18.7 |
| 3 | vs Monmouth | L 20-28 | +3.5 | −2.8 | 0.286 | 2 | −5.7 |
| 4 | at Princeton | L 0-22 | +5.5 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Stony Brook · p 0.581
- Wk 8: at Rhode Island · p 0.482
- Wk 9: vs Campbell · p 0.442
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.406
- Wk 11: vs Maine · p 0.100
- Wk 12: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.185
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BuffaloFBS · L 17-21