The Citadel
Southern · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#95
−5.6 pts · likely #60–111
Strength of schedule
35.6
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
50.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 47.5% · Opp. opp. 36.7%
Remaining SOS
42.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Wofford | L 14-42 | +1.1 | +2.8 | 0.365 | 2 | −21.7 |
| 2 | vs Charleston Southern | L 20-26 OT | −0.9 | −2.8 | 0.194 | 3 | −6.6 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 8-27 | +6.4 | −2.8 | 0.358 | 2 | −14.2 |
| 5 | at South Carolina State | W 34-31 | +6.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.481
- Wk 8: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.535
- Wk 9: at Mercer · p 0.649
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.240
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.022
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.634
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 43-41