Tennessee State
OVC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−11.1 pts · likely #84–121
Strength of schedule
19.2
#106 of 128
Strength of victory
7.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.401
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 37.0%
Remaining SOS
26.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jackson State | L 24-26 | +2.0 | −2.8 | 0.254 | 2 | −4.2 |
| 2 | at Alabama A&M | L 3-30 | −6.2 | +2.8 | 0.201 | 3 | −27.3 |
| 3 | at Florida A&M | W 29-26 | −15.1 | +2.8 | 0.074 | 4 | −9.6 |
| 5 | at Western Illinois | L 21-28 | −4.3 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs UT Martin · p 0.189
- Wk 7: vs Morgan State · p 0.282
- Wk 8: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.197
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.401
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.234
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.096
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.447
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at GeorgiaFBS · L 3-63