Samford
Southern · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#101
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#93
−5.5 pts · likely #60–112
Strength of schedule
37.2
#41 of 128
Strength of victory
1.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.495
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
47.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | L 18-22 | +12.3 | −2.8 | 0.515 | 1 | +4.1 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | L 10-22 | +1.4 | 0.0 | 0.304 | 2 | −9.9 |
| 2 | at Tennessee Tech | L 19-45 | +12.1 | +2.8 | 0.656 | 1 | −11.2 |
| 4 | vs VMI | W 45-7 | −20.7 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Chattanooga · p 0.541
- Wk 7: vs Mercer · p 0.502
- Wk 8: at Furman · p 0.372
- Wk 9: vs Wofford · p 0.295
- Wk 10: at East Tennessee State · p 0.630
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.485
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at UABFBS · L 14-33