North Carolina A&T
CAA · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#105
−7.1 pts · likely #73–114
Strength of schedule
38.1
#39 of 128
Strength of victory
40.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.636
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 40.7%
Remaining SOS
20.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 7-17 | +2.6 | −2.8 | 0.266 | 2 | −9.7 |
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | L 22-30 | −5.6 | +2.8 | 0.211 | 3 | −9.6 |
| 3 | at Campbell | L 14-42 | +8.0 | +2.8 | 0.550 | 1 | −16.4 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 22-18 | +8.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs New Hampshire · p 0.193
- Wk 7: vs Chicago State · p 0.015
- Wk 9: vs Elon · p 0.264
- Wk 10: at Monmouth · p 0.467
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.046
- Wk 12: vs UAlbany · p 0.257
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia StateFBS · L 10-59