Nicholls State
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#77
−2.8 pts · likely #45–105
Strength of schedule
28.6
#75 of 128
Strength of victory
20.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 42.0%
Remaining SOS
36.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 44-10 | −14.1 | −2.8 | 0.039 | 4 | +13.5 |
| 2 | vs UTRGV | W 31-28 | +6.5 | −2.8 | 0.360 | 2 | +4.6 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | L 18-49 | +8.1 | −2.8 | 0.402 | 2 | −21.5 |
| 5 | at Houston Christian | L 2-16 | +0.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.697
- Wk 8: at Northwestern State · p 0.041
- Wk 9: at McNeese · p 0.353
- Wk 10: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.193
- Wk 11: at Incarnate Word · p 0.529
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.376
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 3-71
- Wk 3: at Sam HoustonFBS · L 0-59