Elon
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#48
+2.7 pts · likely #26–83
Strength of schedule
21.3
#99 of 128
Strength of victory
12.7
#36
Record SOS
0.422
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 43.3%
Remaining SOS
23.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Davidson | W 38-0 | −26.9 | +2.8 | 0.012 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 2 | at Rhode Island | L 10-31 | +2.6 | +2.8 | 0.404 | 2 | −13.0 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-21 | +0.8 | −2.8 | 0.228 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 43-17 | −4.1 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Wofford · p 0.295
- Wk 9: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.185
- Wk 10: vs Hampton · p 0.019
- Wk 11: vs Campbell · p 0.442
- Wk 12: at Towson · p 0.251
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Glenville StateDII · W 42-7