Columbia
Ivy · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#104
−7.0 pts · likely #63–115
Strength of schedule
22.5
#97 of 128
Strength of victory
17.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.438
Opp. 27.8% · Opp. opp. 75.7%
Remaining SOS
42.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Columbia. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Lafayette | W 40-34 OT | −1.1 | −2.8 | 0.191 | 3 | −1.7 |
| 4 | at Georgetown | W 20-17 OT | −8.3 | +2.8 | 0.163 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 5 | vs Princeton | L 7-35 | +4.9 | −2.8 | 0.321 | 2 | −22.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Marist · p 0.291
- Wk 7: at Penn · p 0.451
- Wk 8: vs Dartmouth · p 0.368
- Wk 9: vs Yale · p 0.404
- Wk 10: at Harvard · p 0.702
- Wk 11: at Brown · p 0.397
- Wk 12: vs Cornell · p 0.343