Alcorn State
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#107
−7.5 pts · likely #66–116
Strength of schedule
20.1
#104 of 128
Strength of victory
11.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.494
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 35.8%
Remaining SOS
13.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 53-51 OT | −5.3 | 0.0 | 0.166 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 3 | at North Alabama | L 20-38 | +1.3 | +2.8 | 0.369 | 2 | −13.1 |
| 4 | vs Texas Southern | W 43-40 OT | −9.9 | −2.8 | 0.070 | 4 | −8.9 |
| 5 | at Grambling State | L 59-63 | −6.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.358
- Wk 9: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.048
- Wk 10: vs Florida A&M · p 0.032
- Wk 11: at Southern · p 0.042
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.217
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Southern MissFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 56-7