Alabama State
SWAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#53
+2.0 pts · likely #26–90
Strength of schedule
8.8
#119 of 128
Strength of victory
2.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
17.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 30-17 | −21.5 | 0.0 | 0.019 | 4 | −6.5 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-15 | −17.3 | −2.8 | 0.024 | 4 | +5.5 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | L 10-16 | −5.1 | +2.8 | 0.221 | 3 | −6.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Florida A&M · p 0.032
- Wk 7: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.196
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.211
- Wk 10: at Texas Southern · p 0.144
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.217
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.229
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LaneDII · W 34-0
- Wk 2: at TroyFBS · L 17-34