The Citadel
Southern · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#108
−9.0 pts · likely #76–117
Strength of schedule
30.9
#49 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.278
Opp. 27.8% · Opp. opp. 27.8%
Remaining SOS
41.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Wofford | L 14-42 | +0.2 | +2.7 | 0.338 | 2 | −22.6 |
| 2 | vs Charleston Southern | L 20-26 OT | −1.0 | −2.7 | 0.196 | 3 | −7.4 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 8-27 | +7.7 | −2.7 | 0.394 | 2 | −13.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at South Carolina State · p 0.493
- Wk 6: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.420
- Wk 8: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.651
- Wk 9: at Mercer · p 0.583
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.276
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.028
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.474
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 43-41