Tennessee State
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#112
−11.2 pts · likely #84–120
Strength of schedule
19.7
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
8.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 30.6%
Remaining SOS
26.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jackson State | L 24-26 | +5.0 | −2.7 | 0.325 | 2 | −2.5 |
| 2 | at Alabama A&M | L 3-30 | −6.9 | +2.7 | 0.184 | 3 | −27.2 |
| 3 | at Florida A&M | W 29-26 | −14.3 | +2.7 | 0.081 | 4 | −9.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Western Illinois · p 0.278
- Wk 6: vs UT Martin · p 0.203
- Wk 7: vs Morgan State · p 0.239
- Wk 8: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.182
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.401
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.263
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.096
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.445
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at GeorgiaFBS · L 3-63