Stony Brook
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#16
+10.7 pts · likely #9–47
Strength of schedule
33.9
#39 of 128
Strength of victory
36.8
#7
Record SOS
0.664
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 66.0%
Remaining SOS
27.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 36-32 | +0.2 | −2.7 | 0.219 | 3 | +3.9 |
| 1 | at Delaware State | L 34-41 | −3.5 | +2.7 | 0.252 | 2 | −4.1 |
| 3 | vs Rhode Island | W 56-24 | +11.7 | −2.7 | 0.501 | 1 | +35.0 |
| 4 | at Fordham | W 31-16 | +2.0 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.217
- Wk 7: vs UAlbany · p 0.190
- Wk 8: at Bryant · p 0.438
- Wk 9: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.233
- Wk 10: at Campbell · p 0.562
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.265
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.019
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 17-41