Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#65
+0.9 pts · likely #31–91
Strength of schedule
31.8
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
11.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.352
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 38.9%
Remaining SOS
54.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Weber State | L 29-30 | +0.1 | −2.7 | 0.215 | 3 | −3.0 |
| 1 | vs South Dakota | L 23-38 | +16.2 | −2.7 | 0.620 | 1 | −1.7 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 37-13 | −5.8 | −2.7 | 0.117 | 3 | +12.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Montana · p 0.847
- Wk 6: at Eastern Washington · p 0.431
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.233
- Wk 8: at UC Davis · p 0.546
- Wk 10: at Southern Utah · p 0.537
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.710
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.534
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 13-21
- Wk 3: vs Northeastern StateDII · W 23-17