North Carolina A&T
CAA · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#110
−9.5 pts · likely #83–117
Strength of schedule
34.5
#37 of 128
Strength of victory
45.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 34.0%
Remaining SOS
23.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 7-17 | +0.6 | −2.7 | 0.226 | 3 | −11.6 |
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | L 22-30 | −7.0 | +2.7 | 0.183 | 3 | −11.1 |
| 3 | at Campbell | L 14-42 | +6.9 | +2.7 | 0.517 | 1 | −17.3 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 22-18 | +9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Bryant · p 0.438
- Wk 6: vs New Hampshire · p 0.161
- Wk 7: vs Chicago State · p 0.013
- Wk 9: vs Elon · p 0.314
- Wk 10: at Monmouth · p 0.516
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.044
- Wk 12: vs UAlbany · p 0.190
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia StateFBS · L 10-59