Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#103
−6.8 pts · likely #67–112
Strength of schedule
33.2
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
15.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 52.1% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
33.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 7-34 | +2.4 | −2.7 | 0.266 | 2 | −24.0 |
| 2 | at Maine | W 23-14 | −3.0 | +2.7 | 0.264 | 2 | +5.4 |
| 3 | at Tarleton State | L 20-45 | +16.3 | +2.7 | 0.751 | 1 | −6.3 |
| 4 | vs New Haven | W 17-10 | −13.2 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Yale · p 0.511
- Wk 7: at Dartmouth · p 0.529
- Wk 8: vs New Hampshire · p 0.161
- Wk 9: vs Wagner · p 0.047
- Wk 11: at Monmouth · p 0.516
- Wk 12: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.233
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DelawareFBS · L 7-42