Mercer
Southern · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#19
+9.8 pts · likely #9–53
Strength of schedule
23.1
#76 of 128
Strength of victory
24.6
#18
Record SOS
0.313
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 60.4%
Remaining SOS
34.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 62-3 | −15.8 | −2.7 | 0.031 | 4 | +15.4 |
| 1 | vs East Texas A&M | W 23-15 | −3.7 | −2.7 | 0.148 | 3 | +3.0 |
| 2 | vs Furman | L 13-20 | −1.6 | −2.7 | 0.184 | 3 | −7.1 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 34-17 | +8.5 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at VMI · p 0.028
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.335
- Wk 7: at Samford · p 0.240
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.077
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.557
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.774
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.420
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia TechFBS · L 11-44