Marist
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#85
−2.9 pts · likely #45–105
Strength of schedule
14.9
#94 of 128
Strength of victory
5.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.133
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 40.0%
Remaining SOS
11.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Haven | L 21-22 | −14.4 | +2.7 | 0.080 | 4 | −11.0 |
| 2 | at Lafayette | L 9-13 | −0.8 | +2.7 | 0.315 | 2 | −2.2 |
| 4 | vs Presbyterian | W 42-7 | −12.3 | −2.7 | 0.052 | 4 | +15.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Stetson · p 0.024
- Wk 6: vs Columbia · p 0.173
- Wk 7: at Drake · p 0.177
- Wk 8: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.289
- Wk 9: at San Diego · p 0.111
- Wk 10: vs Morehead State · p 0.016
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.123
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.017
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Franklin PierceDII · W 27-18