Elon
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#37
+4.6 pts · likely #19–75
Strength of schedule
19.7
#85 of 128
Strength of victory
13.3
#28
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 42.4%
Remaining SOS
22.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Davidson | W 38-0 | −22.7 | +2.7 | 0.025 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 2 | at Rhode Island | L 10-31 | +2.2 | +2.7 | 0.391 | 2 | −12.7 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-21 | −0.0 | −2.7 | 0.214 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 43-17 | −3.0 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at New Hampshire · p 0.265
- Wk 6: vs Wofford · p 0.278
- Wk 9: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.140
- Wk 10: vs Hampton · p 0.019
- Wk 11: vs Campbell · p 0.418
- Wk 12: at Towson · p 0.217
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Glenville StateDII · W 42-7