Dayton
Pioneer · 1-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#73
−1.1 pts · likely #34–103
Strength of schedule
35.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
35.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
7.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Eastern Kentucky | W 17-14 | +1.0 | +2.7 | 0.358 | 2 | +5.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Drake · p 0.177
- Wk 6: vs Morehead State · p 0.016
- Wk 7: at Butler · p 0.212
- Wk 8: vs San Diego · p 0.057
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.024
- Wk 10: vs Valparaiso · p 0.019
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.006
- Wk 12: at Presbyterian · p 0.054
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Fairmont StateDII · W 43-20
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 30-7