Alcorn State
SWAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#107
−9.0 pts · likely #73–118
Strength of schedule
16.1
#93 of 128
Strength of victory
6.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.559
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
18.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 53-51 OT | −15.3 | 0.0 | 0.050 | 4 | −12.0 |
| 3 | at North Alabama | L 20-38 | +0.9 | +2.7 | 0.356 | 2 | −13.6 |
| 4 | vs Texas Southern | W 43-40 OT | −9.3 | −2.7 | 0.077 | 4 | −8.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Grambling State · p 0.219
- Wk 7: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.452
- Wk 9: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.029
- Wk 10: vs Florida A&M · p 0.036
- Wk 11: at Southern · p 0.095
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.253
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Southern MissFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 56-7