Alabama State
SWAC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#36
+4.7 pts · likely #17–80
Strength of schedule
3.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
3.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.292
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 87.5%
Remaining SOS
18.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 30-17 | −14.6 | 0.0 | 0.055 | 4 | −0.0 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-15 | −22.6 | −2.7 | 0.010 | 4 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.231
- Wk 6: vs Florida A&M · p 0.036
- Wk 7: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.085
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.213
- Wk 10: at Texas Southern · p 0.144
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.253
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.315
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LaneDII · W 34-0
- Wk 2: at TroyFBS · L 17-34