Western Carolina
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#17
+10.6 pts · likely #9–49
Strength of schedule
28.1
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
18.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
35.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 45-21 | +3.4 | −2.8 | 0.284 | 2 | +21.5 |
| 1 | at Campbell | L 19-28 | +5.2 | +2.8 | 0.475 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 58-14 | −8.4 | −2.8 | 0.085 | 4 | +20.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at East Tennessee State · p 0.408
- Wk 5: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.660
- Wk 6: at Mercer · p 0.528
- Wk 8: vs Chattanooga · p 0.383
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.406
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.235
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.174
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.081
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at CincinnatiFBS · L 10-62