The Citadel
Southern · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−8.4 pts · likely #68–118
Strength of schedule
22.9
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.213
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 13.9%
Remaining SOS
40.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Wofford | L 14-42 | −3.1 | +2.8 | 0.264 | 2 | −24.4 |
| 2 | vs Charleston Southern | L 20-26 OT | −1.0 | −2.8 | 0.193 | 3 | −7.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Chattanooga · p 0.383
- Wk 5: at South Carolina State · p 0.498
- Wk 6: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.269
- Wk 8: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.660
- Wk 9: at Mercer · p 0.528
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.268
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.049
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.619
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 43-41