Tarleton State
UAC · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#9
+16.7 pts · likely #3–26
Strength of schedule
27.8
#38 of 128
Strength of victory
27.8
#5
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 83.3%
Remaining SOS
32.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | +6.7 | −2.8 | 0.364 | 2 | +21.2 |
| 2 | at McNeese | W 27-24 | +0.3 | +2.8 | 0.344 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 3 | vs Merrimack | W 45-20 | −5.2 | −2.8 | 0.124 | 3 | +17.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Chicago State · p 0.024
- Wk 6: at Austin Peay · p 0.717
- Wk 7: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.131
- Wk 8: at West Georgia · p 0.340
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.216
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.373
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.405
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.377
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13