Stony Brook
CAA · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#18
+10.2 pts · likely #9–50
Strength of schedule
37.6
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
43.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.676
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 69.4%
Remaining SOS
28.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 36-32 | +0.2 | −2.8 | 0.216 | 3 | +3.7 |
| 1 | at Delaware State | L 34-41 | −3.4 | +2.8 | 0.259 | 2 | −3.1 |
| 3 | vs Rhode Island | W 56-24 | +17.5 | −2.8 | 0.652 | 1 | +38.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Fordham · p 0.376
- Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.214
- Wk 7: vs UAlbany · p 0.244
- Wk 8: at Bryant · p 0.407
- Wk 9: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.217
- Wk 10: at Campbell · p 0.544
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.292
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.015
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 17-41