Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#21
+8.6 pts · likely #12–59
Strength of schedule
26.0
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
20.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
55.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Samford | W 22-18 | −10.3 | +2.8 | 0.132 | 3 | −1.1 |
| 1 | at West Florida | L 31-34 | +0.9 | +2.8 | 0.361 | 2 | +1.7 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 34-20 | +3.5 | −2.8 | 0.287 | 2 | +13.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Murray State · p 0.114
- Wk 5: vs Youngstown State · p 0.660
- Wk 6: at South Dakota · p 0.810
- Wk 7: vs Illinois State · p 0.752
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.343
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.333
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.615
- Wk 12: at North Dakota · p 0.828
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at IllinoisFBS · L 10-48