Nicholls State
Southland · 2-0 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#39
+4.5 pts · likely #18–82
Strength of schedule
23.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
23.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.917
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
34.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 44-10 | −17.7 | −2.8 | 0.023 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 2 | vs UTRGV | W 31-28 | +9.6 | −2.8 | 0.440 | 2 | +8.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Lamar · p 0.400
- Wk 5: at Houston Christian · p 0.303
- Wk 7: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.758
- Wk 8: at Northwestern State · p 0.041
- Wk 9: at McNeese · p 0.405
- Wk 10: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.160
- Wk 11: at Incarnate Word · p 0.408
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.304
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 3-71
- Wk 3: at Sam HoustonFBS · L 0-59